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EHRA 25: CONSIDERING-AF: DeteCtiON and Stroke PreventIon by MoDEl ScRreenING for AF
Published: 10 Apr 2025
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EHRA 2025 - Outcomes from model screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) show the combination of a risk prediction model and long-term electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring is superior to standard of care in detecting new cases of AF in a high-risk population aged 65 years or older. In the risk prediction model arm, the incidence of AF after six months was significantly higher than the incidence in the control arm, and 76% of all AF cases detected with the ECG patch were identified within the first 7 days of monitoring.
Dr Emma Sandgren (Karolinska Institutet Danderyd Hospital, Stockholm, SE) joins us on-site at EHRA Congress 2025 to discuss findings from CONSIDERING-AF (NCT05838781), a randomized, control, non-blinded, superiority study investigating whether model screening with long-term ECG monitoring and the use of a risk prediction model is superior to routine care in detecting new cases of AF. Patients with the highest risk of developing AF aged 65 years or older from Region Halland in Sweden were enrolled in the study.
Interview Questions:
1. What is the importance behind the study?
2. What was the study design and patient population?
3. What are the key findings?
4. Based on your findings, what would be your recommendation for the optimal duration of monitoring for AF screening?
5. What are your take-home messages?
6. What further research is needed, and what are the next steps?
Recorded on-site at EHRA in Vienna, 2025.
Editors: Yazmin Sadik, Jordan Rance
Videographers: Tom Green, David Ben-Harosh
Support: This is an independent interview produced by Arrhythmia Academy.
Hi, my name is Emma Sandgren and I'm from the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm, Sweden, and today I'm going to talk on this trial CONSIDERING-AF.
What is the importance behind the study?
Current European guidelines recommend considering systematic AF screening in individuals aged 65 years or older with additional stroke risk factors. And our thought was that some kind of enrichment aimed at target screening for individuals with highest risk of developing AF will potentially improve the diagnostic yield.
Therefore, our aim was to test whether the combination of our respiratory model developed using machine learning together with long- term ECG recording was superior to standard of care in detecting new cases of AF in a population aged 65 years or older.
What was the study design and patient population?
The trial design was randomized, control, sightless, non-blinded, superiority trail featuring four parallel arms: two intervention arms and two control arms. And the target population for the trial was residents in Region Halland, Sweden aged 65 years or older without a diagnosis of AF in their electronic health record. And exclusion criteria was having AF, having another indication for [illegible] treatment, having dementia or an implantable device.
What are the key findings?
Key findings of the trial was that in the [illegible] analysis, the incidence of AF after six months in the RPM intervention arm was significantly higher than the incidence in the general control arm, 3.8% versus 0.7%, which means an absolute increase of 3.1%, a risk ratio of 5.6 and a [illegible] of 32.
The result was also significant in the proprotocol analysis with an AF detection rate of 6.3% in the RPM intervention arm. And additionally, in the proprotocol analysis, both of the components, the risk prediction model and the long- term ECG recording, showed significant results indicating that both components were important.
Based on your findings, what would be your recommendation for the optimal duration of monitoring for AF screening?
The [illegible] yield depends on both the duration of the monitoring and the prevalence in the target population. And in this trial, we wanted to target individuals with highest risk of developing AF, and it's also these individuals who will benefit the most for ADHD treatment.
Interestingly, 76% of all cases of AF detected with the ECG patch were identified within the first seven days of monitoring, suggesting that these individuals, high risk individuals, have a significant AF burden which could indicate that seven days of monitoring may be enough in a population like this, but maybe rather repeat the screening in individuals where AF is not initially detected.
What are your take-home messages?
The combination of a risk prediction model and long-term ECG monitoring was superior to standard of care in detecting new case of AF in a population aged 65 years or older. The participation rate was high for a digital screen study. The overall participation rates in both intervention arms were 42%, but AF detection rate was low in the general non-enriched cohort.
What further research is needed, and what are the next steps?
Although target AF screening was efficient in finding patients with unknown AF, the benefits of finding these patients need to be verified with regard to clinical outcomes such as AF-related strokes.
Additionally, health economic consequences and the effect on health care consumptions need to be evaluated for target AF screening. Even though AF screening has the potential to reduce future AF- related strokes, finding these AF cases is related to our costs and at least temporarily increased healthcare consumption.
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